The Atlanta Falcons will face the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Our computer model predicts that the Saints will win — see below for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Falcons rank 20th in total offense (307.3 yards per game) and 18th in total defense (326.7 yards allowed per game) this year. In terms of total offense, the Saints rank ninth in the NFL (343.3 total yards per game) and 21st defensively (335.3 total yards allowed per game).

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Falcons vs. Saints Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The Falcons have an implied moneyline win probability of 60.8% in this matchup.
• Atlanta has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
• The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
• Atlanta and its opponent have not hit the over yet this season.
• The total for this game is 41, 4.2 points fewer than the average total in Falcons games thus far this season (postseason included).

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Saints Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 43.5%.
• New Orleans has covered twice in three games with a spread this season.
• The Saints have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• New Orleans games have gone over the point total twice this season.
• The average total points scored in Saints games (postseason included) this year (41) is five points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Scoring Insights

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