According to our computer model, the Washington Commanders will defeat the Atlanta Falcons when they meet at Commanders Field on Sunday, Dec. 29 (at 8:20 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.

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The Commanders rank 19th in scoring defense this year (23.2 points allowed per game), but they’ve been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 28.8 points per game. With 360.9 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Falcons rank ninth in the NFL in 2024. On defense, they rank 16th, allowing 335.3 total yards per contest.

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Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Falcons have a 39.2% chance to win.
• Atlanta has compiled a 6-8-1 ATS record so far this year.
• The Falcons have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• Atlanta games have gone over the point total five out of 15 times this year.
• The over/under for this game is 0.5 points higher than the average scoring total for Falcons games (playoffs included) of 46.

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Commanders Betting Info

• Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Commanders have an implied win probability of 65.5%.
• Washington has compiled a 9-6-0 record against the spread this season.
• When playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Commanders have an ATS record of 3-2.
• Washington games have gone over the point total 10 out of 15 times this season.
• The over/under in this game is 46.5 points, 0.4 higher than the average total in Commanders games this season.

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Falcons vs. Commanders 2024 Scoring Insights

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