NBA Best Bets: Heat vs. Hornets Picks for October 26

Published 6:57 am Saturday, October 26, 2024

Southeast Division opponents meet when the Miami Heat (0-1) visit the Charlotte Hornets (1-1) at Spectrum Center, starting at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 26, 2024. The Hornets are 4.5-point underdogs in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season.

Prior to placing a wager on this game, take a peek at the best bets available on Saturday according to our computer predictions.

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Heat vs. Hornets Game Info

  • When: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina
  • TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Heat vs. Hornets Best Bets

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Terry Rozier Over 15.5 PTS

  • Last season the Heat were at the 26th spot in the NBA scoring rankings (110.1 points per game), while the Hornets conceded the 22nd-fewest points (116.8 per game) in the league.
  • Last season the 110.1 points per game the Heat put up were 6.7 fewer points than the Hornets conceded (116.8).

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LaMelo Ball Over 23.5 PTS

  • Charlotte was the 28th-ranked scoring team (106.6 points per game) in the NBA a season ago, while Miami was ranked third defensively in points per game (108.4).
  • When it scored more than 108.4 points, Charlotte went 20-19.

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Pick ATS: Hornets (+ 4.5)

  • Miami had 41 wins in 82 games against the spread last season.
  • Charlotte beat the spread 34 times in 82 games last year.
  • The Heat had an ATS record of 10-13 as 4.5-point favorites or greater last season.
  • The Hornets’ ATS record as underdogs of 4.5 points or greater was 30-38 last season.

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Pick OU:

Under (223.5)

  • The Heat and their opponents went over 223.5 combined points in 29 of 82 games last season.
  • The Hornets played 40 games last season that ended with a combined score over 223.5 points.
  • Miami’s outings last season had an average of 220.7 points, 2.8 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
  • The average number of points in Charlotte’s contests last year was 223.9, which is 0.4 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick: Hornets (+165)

  • The Heat put together a 35-12 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 74.5% of those games).
  • Last season, the Hornets won 18 out of the 76 games, or 23.7%, in which they were the underdog.
  • Miami had a record of 16-4 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -200 or shorter last year (80%).
  • Charlotte had a record of 13-49, a 21% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +165 or more by sportsbooks last season.
  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Heat a 66.7% chance to win.

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