According to our computer model, the Atlanta Falcons will beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers when they square off at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Thursday, Oct. 3 (at 8:15 p.m. ET). We have a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available below.

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The Falcons are totaling 309.3 yards per game on offense this season (19th in NFL), and they are allowing 336.5 yards per game (19th) on the other side of the ball. The Buccaneers are accumulating 319 total yards per game on offense this season (16th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 335.3 total yards per game (18th-ranked).

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• Based on this game’s moneyline, the Falcons have an implied win probability of 55.6%.
• Atlanta has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
• The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 1.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• Games featuring Atlanta have hit the over just once this season.
• The over/under in this matchup is 44 points, 0.3 fewer than the average total in this season’s Falcons contests (postseason included).

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Buccaneers Betting Info

• The Buccaneers have a 48.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Tampa Bay has put together a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Buccaneers have won their only game this year when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
• So far this year, two Tampa Bay games have hit the over.
• This season, Buccaneers games have resulted in an average scoring total of 44.1, which is 0.1 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

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