At Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 22, the Kansas City Chiefs meet the Atlanta Falcons, beginning at 8:20 p.m. ET. The Falcons should win, according to our computer model — continue reading to discover more tips regarding the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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With 386 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL, the Chiefs have had to lean on their 15th-ranked offense (319.5 yards per contest) to keep them in games. In terms of points scored the Falcons rank 24th in the NFL (16 points per game), and they are 11th on the other side of the ball (19.5 points allowed per contest).

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Falcons vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The Falcons have a 41.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Atlanta has covered once in two chances against the spread this year.
• The Falcons have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• Atlanta and its opponent have not yet hit the over in 2024.
• Falcons games average 44.5 total points, two fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Chiefs Betting Info

• Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Chiefs have an implied win probability of 62.3%.
• Kansas City has won one game against the spread this season.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread once when favored by 3 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• All Kansas City games have hit the over this season.
• Chiefs games average 47 total points per game this season, 0.5 more than the over/under for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

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